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Should
Parties tell Mediators Their Bottom Line?
Timing is obviously of paramount importance here, and
effective mediators normally will not ask this type of question (as well as
discourage "What do you think it's worth?" type questions from the
negotiators) until the last phase of the negotiation. Keeping in mind the issues
raised above, we are now ready to reframe the question posed in the title of
this article: Are there mediation process techniques, to be employed at the end
of a money negotiation that will otherwise conclude in a stalemate, which can
allow a negotiating party to find out simply and without risk if its bottom line
would be acceptable to the other side, and which also encourage candid
responses?
In a separate meeting, I can of course ask a party to disclose
its bottom line to me and then ask the other party whether that number would be
acceptable if it could be obtained. This garden variety "What if"
technique offers at least some protection since the hypothetical language used
does not constitute a formal settlement proposal. That can be a pretty
thin veil, though, and some negotiators will speculate that the hypothetical
number has already been approved by the other party. Alternatively, I can ask
each party to tell me its bottom line and then advise them, for example, whether
the numbers are the same or (without disclosing the actual numbers) whether they
overlap, are near each other or far apart. While they have the virtue of
simplicity, these common techniques lack both sufficient incentives for candor
and protections against manipulation. They may also leave unclear what will
happen next if they do not produce an agreement. For example, the parties may be
wary of winding up with an unwanted value opinion or a settlement proposal from
the mediator that they suspect may be nothing more than a splitting of the difference between their
confidential bottom line numbers.
Given these risks and uncertainties, how
candid can they afford to be?
Safety deposit box
To address these shortcomings, I have experimented for several
years with a technique in money negotiations I call the Safety Deposit Box. Mine
is a deadline-oriented process, and if the parties are not close to agreement as
we approach the end of the allotted time, I sometimes convene a joint meeting to
tell them that there is a final technique that is often effective at this point.
I ask them to think of me as a Safety Deposit Box and explain that numbers go
into the box but not out - they remain locked in the box. My explanation
continues with words similar to the following:
"1 will separate you one last time in a few minutes and ask
you to put your final bottom line number into the Safety Deposit Box. Please
give careful thought to your number, because it will be used by me in several
ways. These numbers will not be disclosed unless, as happens occasionally, they
are the same. If they are the same, I will bring you together to sign a
settlement agreement. A few times in the past, these numbers have overlapped,
i.e., the plaintiff's final number was lower than the defendant's. That is the
one and only situation in which the midpoint between your final numbers will
arbitrarily become the settlement amount.² If there is a gap of any
significance between your final numbers, I will inform each party that a gap
exists, without disclosing either number or the size of the gap. You may then
choose among three options: 1) to keep your number confidential; 2) to disclose
your number to the other side; or 3) to condition your disclosure on the other
party's agreeing to disclose its number to you.
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